1. After a large drop at the end of Jan 2003, Sprint consolidates
around $12.00 and trades in a relatively tight
stock option
trading range, around $12.00, for approximately 5 months or
until mid-May 2003. This period is the first opportunity for
premium collection.
2. At the end of May 2003, Sprint trades up to the top of its
stock option trading range in a slow, methodical way, indicating
a period of decreasing volatility.
3. Sprint breaks out of old stock option trading range by trading
through resistance set by the 2 highs in February, around $13.25.
It develops a new stock option trading range at the $15.00 level
by trading up in a slow, step like pattern which also indicates
a period of decreasing volatility.
4. Sprint trades around the $15.50 range and really tightens
up around October 2003 thru January 2004. This again, is a long
period of decreasing volatility.
Conclusion: Sprint shows two favorable patterns here that are
friendly to covered call writing. The first is that Sprint shows
the tendency to trade in a tight range for extended periods
of time, as seen in Feb. May 2003 and Jul. Dec. 2003. This
is advantageous for premium collection.
The second is that when Sprint does move, it mostly trades up
in a slow, directional type of move, as opposed to gapping (with
the exception of Jan. 2003). These slow upward directional moves
work well for covered call writers in two ways; capital appreciation
and premium capturing.