By selecting an at-the-money option to sell as part of a vertical
futures option trading spread, an investor can execute a time
decay play with a hedged position.
Much in the same way that a vertical futures option trading
spread can be used as a time decay play, it can be used as a
volatility play. We stated earlier that an at-the-money option
has more extrinsic value than any other option in its expiration
month. This is due to a number of contributing factors including
time but it is in no small way due to volatility.
Volatility is a huge component of an
futures option trading extrinsic value. An options dollar sensitivity to movements
in implied volatility is known as vega. Obviously, an at-the-money
option will have a higher vega (volatility sensitivity) then
will an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option in the same
month.
As volatility increases, the at-the-money option will increase
in price to a greater degree than will an in-the-money or out-of-the-money
option in the same month. As volatility increases, the at-the-money
futures option trading value will increase in price to a greater
degree then will an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option
whose vegas will be less.
Conversely, the at-the-money futures option trading will lose
value at a greater rate than an in-the-money or out-of-the-money
option should implied volatility decrease. The question now
is how to use the vertical spread to take advantage of anticipated
movements in implied volatility. Remember, the vertical spread
affords you the luxury of being hedged on either side of the
trade both as a buyer and a seller of the futures option trading
spread.
So, if you think that implied volatility is likely to increase,
you can set up a vertical spread by buying an at-the-money option
and selling either the in-the-money or out-of-the-money option
against it. Conversely, if you feel implied volatility will
decrease; you can set up a vertical futures option trading spread
by selling an at-the-money option and buy either an out-of-the-money
or an in-the-money option against it.
As to how to set it up, you would follow the same guidelines
as you would for setting up a vertical futures option trading
spread to take advantage of time decay. Decide which direction
you feel the futures option trading would most likely move.
If you feel the stock would most likely rise, you will have
to decide between buying a vertical call spread and selling
a vertical put spread.
Either way, the futures option trading spread will have to be
constructed with the at-the-money option being long if you feel
volatility will increase or short if you feel volatility will
decrease. If you feel the stock would most likely fall, you
will have to decide between buying a vertical put spread and
selling a vertical call spread. Again, either way, the futures
option trading spread will have to be constructed with the short
option being the at-the-money.
As you can see, the vertical
futures option trading spread does
not have to be used only in directional scenarios. It is very
versatile allowing the investor several choices among a diverse
group of potential uses. It also affords limited risk, albeit
limited profit potential, to both the buyer and the seller.