|
|
Part 2: Vertical stock Options Spread
Provided
By Options University
Factors That Affect Stock Options Spread Pricing
The out-of-the-money vertical stock options spread (June 70
75) has the opposite effect of the in-the-money vertical spread
(June 60 65). As volatility increases, the value of the out-of-the-money
vertical spread will increase. This is because the increase
in volatility assumes that the stock price will be more likely
to move and thus the out-of-the-money vertical call stock options
spread will be more likely to finish in-the-money.
Because of the increased potential of this spreads ability
to finish in-the-money, the value of the stock options spread
will increase. However, if volatility decreases, the value of
the stock options spread will decrease. The rule of thumb is
that when volatility increases, an out-of-the-money vertical
spreads value increases. When volatility decreases, the spreads
value decreases.
Below, find a chart showing what happens to option deltas when
volatility increases or decreases.
Implied Volatility |
ATM |
ITM |
OTM |
+ invcreases |
even |
decreases |
increases |
- decreases |
even |
increases |
decreases |
When trying to estimate how your stock options spread will change
in price with volatility movement, you must understand how the
price and delta of both of your options, (the long option and
the short option) will act.
It bears repeating again that each stock options spread is different
and will act differently depending on where the stock is in
relation to the spread and what implied volatility does.
A good rule of thumb is that when volatility increases, a stock
options spread crunch to its median value. For example, the
median value of a five dollar stock options spread will be $2.50
while a $10.00 spread will have a $5.00 median value. Crunching
to the median value means that a $5.00 spread that has a medium
value over $2.50 will lose value and head toward the median
price. That happens with an increase in volatility.
Meanwhile, that increased implied volatility will make a stock
options spread with a value less than $2.50 increase in value,
heading up toward median value. When implied volatility decreases,
the value of a $5.00 stock options spread will move away from
the median price of $2.50. So, when implied volatility decreases,
all the spreads valued above $2.50 will increase in value toward
maximum value, while stock options spread valued below $2.50
will lose value and head toward $0.
Time effects the stock options spread differently depending
on where the stock is. As an example, we will look at the QCOM
65 70 call spread. We view the stock options spread over time
and across three different stock prices. First, lets look at
the spreads reaction to the passing of time with the stock
price of $65.50. Below, find a chart showing what the spreads
value does as expiration approaches.
Month |
65-70 call spread value |
Change from prior |
Jan. 05 (8 month option) |
2.06 |
N/A |
Oct. 04 (05 month option) |
2.05 |
-.01 |
Jul. 04 (2 month option) |
1.92 |
-.13 |
June 04 (1 month option) |
1.65 |
-.27 |
With the stock at $65.50, the stock options spread has $.50
of intrinsic value. Holding the stock price frozen at $65.50
until expiration the spread would be worth $.50. As seen by
the table above, the stock options spread loses value as time
passes and decreases in value toward its $.50 intrinsic value.
Next, we will look at the 65 70 spreads reaction to the passage
of time with the stock priced at $67.50.
Month |
65-70 call spread value |
Change from prior |
Jan. 05 (8 month option) |
2.33 |
N/A |
Oct. 04 (05 month option) |
2.37 |
+.04 |
Jul. 04 (2 month option) |
1.44 |
+.07 |
June 04 (1 month option) |
1.47 |
+.03 |
As you can see, with the stock price located directly in between
the two strikes, the price of the stock options spread holds
at approximately $2.50 throughout the passing of time. As a
rule of thumb, time has very little effect on a vertical spread
when the stock price lies half-way (equidistant) between the
two strikes of the stock options spread.
Now, we set the stock price at $69.50 and observe how the spread
reacts over time.
Month |
65-70 call spread value |
Change from prior |
Jan. 05 (8 month option) |
2.55 |
N/A |
Oct. 04 (05 month option) |
2.67 |
+.12 |
Jul. 04 (2 month option) |
2.96 |
+.29 |
June 04 (1 month option) |
3.27 |
+.31 |
The chart shows that as time passes, this stock options spread
increases in value. With the stock at $69.50, the spread has
an intrinsic value of $4.50. If the stock held at $69.50 until
expiration, the stock options spread would be worth $4.50 because
that is the amount of intrinsic value the spread has. As time
passes, the spreads value will increase to finally reach $4.50
at expiration.
In conclusion, times effect on a vertical spread is contingent
on where the stock is in relation to the stock options spread.
Discover
these secret option trading strategies that will have your friends
calling YOU 'the options expert' Click
here!
|
"You’re
About To Learn Secrets Most Traders Will Never Know About Profitable System Trading..."
Inside you’ll learn...
How
to design a winning system from scratch and exactly what
to do to supercharge your current stock trading system!
The
one ingredient you literally "Drop" into your
stock trading system that can triple your profit!
How
to use “secret” money management techniques
to minimize your risk.
The
tools the professionals use and how you can get huge discounts
(charting software, data, etc).
And
you'll also get a FREE copy of David Jenyns’ complete
Ultimate Trading Systems Course…
Just enter your name & email - then click the “Click
Here For Free Instant Download!” button. (All information
kept 100% confidential). The download details will be
emailed to you immediately.
We
take your privacy very seriously. My
personal privacy guarantee to you. I respect your privacy
and will never share your email address with anyone. You can
easily unsubscribe at any time. View our Privacy
Policy - David Jenyns Founder of www.ultimate-trading-systems.com
|
|
|
copyright 2005 Stock Options Spread
www.meta-formula.com
|
|